Week 6 CFB Early Look

It was a wild day in College Football with top teams notching comeback victories.  Clemson battled back with a third-string QB to defeat pesky Syracuse and Ohio State went into Happy Valley and squeaked out a victory.  Notre Dame looked very strong in a statement victory over Stanford to stay unbeaten.  We are into conference play all over the nation and the national landscape is starting to take shape.  Let's dive into some interesting numbers and take an early look at next week's matchups.

AP Top 25

1. Alabama 5-0

2. Georgia 5-0

3. Ohio State 5-0 (+1)

4. Clemson 5-0 (-1)

5. LSU 5-0

6. Notre Dame 5-0 (+2)

7. Oklahoma 5-0 (-1)

8. Auburn 4-1 (+2)

9. West Virginia 4-0 (+3)

10. Washington 4-1 (+1)

11. Penn State 4-1 (-2)

12. UCF 4-0 (+1)

13. Kentucky 5-0 (+4)

14. Stanford 4-1 (-7)

15. Michigan 4-1 (-1)

16. Wisconsin 3-1 (-1)

17. Miami (FL) 4-1 (-1)

18. Oregon 4-1 (+1)

19. Texas 4-1 (-1)

20. Michigan State (+1)

21. Colorado 4-0 (NR)

22. Florida 4-1 (NR)

23. NC State 4-0 (NR)

24. Virginia Tech 3-1 (NR)

25. Oklahoma State 4-1 (NR)

Others Receiving Votes: Boise State 86, USF 83, Syracuse 74, Cincinnati 35, Iowa 34, Texas A&M 31, Washington State 14, TCU 13, California 10, Maryland 10, Missouri 8, Mississippi State 3, Boston College 3, BYU 3, Arizona State 2, Appalachian State 2, Duke 1, Hawaii 1, San Diego State 1

National Title Odds

Alabama 1/2

Ohio State 9/2

Clemson 5/1

Georgia 6/1

Notre Dame 12/1

Oklahoma 20/1

Michigan 25/1

Washington 25/1

Auburn 50/1

LSU 50/1

Best Records Against the Spread

Washington State 5-0

Appalachian State 4-0

Georgia Southern 4-0

Utah State 4-0

West Virginia 4-0

Syracuse 4-0-1

Worst Records Against the Spread

Florida Atlantic 0-5

Nebraska 0-4

Connecticut 0-4-1

UTSA 0-4-1

Week 6 Matchups

Thursday, October 4

Georgia State @ Troy (-17)

Model: Troy -15.26

Tulsa @ Houston (-17)

Model: Houston -13.5

Friday, October 5

Georgia Tech (-3.5) @ Louisville

Model: Georgia Tech -6.56

Middle Tennessee @ Marshall (-7)

Model: Marshall -4.85

Utah State @ BYU (-2.5)

Model: BYU -5.2

Saturday, October 6

East Carolina @ Temple (-11)

Model: Temple -15.61

Indiana @ #3 Ohio State (-25.5)

Model: Ohio State -27.67

#5 LSU (-3.5) @ #22 Florida

Model: LSU -3.15

Maryland @ #15 Michigan (-17.5)

Model: Michigan -17.78

Tulane @ Cincinnati (-7)

Model: Cincinnati -5.13

Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan (-3.5)

Model: Western Michigan -1.28

Buffalo (-7.5) @ Central Michigan

Model: Buffalo -7.97

#6 Notre Dame (-5) @ #24 Virginia Tech

Model: Notre Dame -11.65

Illinois (-2) @ Rutgers

Model: Rutgers -2.62

Northwestern @ #20 Michigan State (-10.5)

Model: Michigan State -13.37

Kansas @ #9 West Virginia (-29)

Model: West Virginia -21.88

#1 Alabama (-34.5) @ Arkansas

Model: Alabama -38.8

Syracuse (-6.5) @ Pittsburgh

Model: Syracuse -2.76

Boston College @ #23 NC State (-3.5)

Model: NC State -0.88

Arizona State @ #21 Colorado (-2.5)

Model: Arizona State -5.18

Northern Illinois (-4.5) @ Ball State

Model: Northern Illinois -4.91

#10 Washington (-21.5) @ UCLA

Model: Washington -21.85

Washington State (-16) @ Oregon State

Model: Washington State -14.01

California @ Arizona (-2.5)

Model: California -1.55

South Alabama @ Georgia Southern (-13.5)

Model: Georgia Southern -10.83

South Florida (-14) @ UMass 

Model: USF -17.41

Ohio (-12.5) @ Kent State

Model: Ohio -10.94

Miami (OH) @ Akron (-3.5)

Model: Miami (OH) -3.99

San Diego State @ Boise State (-15)

Model: Boise State -10.54

#13 Kentucky @ Texas A&M (-6)

Model: Texas A&M -8.31

Vanderbilt @ #2 Georgia (-26.5)

Model: Georgia -24.39

Iowa (-5) @ Minnesota

Model: Iowa -3.29

#8 Auburn (-3.5) @ Mississippi State

Model: Auburn -1.35

Navy (-3.5) @ Air Force

Model: Air Force -0.21

#19 Texas vs. #7 Oklahoma (-7.5) (at Cotton Bowl in Dallas, TX)

Model: Oklahoma -13

Kansas State @ Baylor (-4)

Model: Baylor -7.43

New Mexico @ UNLV (-13)

Model: UNLV -6.71

ULM @ Ole Miss (-21.5)

Model: Ole Miss -20.07

Old Dominion @ Florida Atlantic (-14.5)

Model: Florida Atlantic -17.47

SMU @ #12 UCF (-25.5)

Model: UCF -26.51

UAB @ Louisiana Tech (-8)

Model: Louisiana Tech -8.45

UConn @ Memphis (-33)

Model: Memphis -32.18

Louisiana (-3.5) @ Texas State

Model: Louisiana -2.45

UTSA (-1.5) @ Rice

Model: UTSA -1

Liberty (-3.5) @ New Mexico State

Model: Liberty -4.42

Florida State @ #17 Miami (FL) (-12)

Model: Miami (FL) -10

Nebraska @ #16 Wisconsin (-21)

Model: Wisconsin -20.1

Fresno State (-11) @ Nevada

Model: Fresno State -11.14

Colorado State (-3.5) @ San Jose State

Model: Colorado State -1.32

Wyoming @ Hawaii (-4)

Model: Hawaii -1.52

Missouri @ South Carolina (No Line posted yet)

Model: South Carolina -0.42

#4 Clemson @ Wake Forest (No Line posted yet)

Model: Clemson -19.64

Bowling Green @ Toledo (No Line posted yet)

Model: Toledo -16.77

Iowa State @ #25 Oklahoma State (No Line posted yet)

Model: Oklahoma State -15.12

North Texas @ UTEP (No Line posted yet)

Model: North Texas -23.09

Utah @ #14 Stanford (No Line posted yet)

Model: Stanford -8.66

Wrong Team Favored

Rutgers +2 vs. Illinois

Arizona State +2.5 @ Colorado

Cal +2.5 @ Arizona

Miami (OH) +3.5 @ Akron

Air Force +3.5 vs. Navy

Stay tuned later in the week for my breakdown of my top plays for the week as well as any other action I have.