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Showing posts from June, 2018

Wimbledon First Round Values

Some great First Round matchups in the Round of 128 coming up at Wimbledon.  I'm going to breakdown a few of the values I like and the bets I will be making. Section 1 Harrison/Carballes Baena Over 3.5 (+100) Carballes Baena has rarely played on anything but Clay and his results on other surfaces show.  He has also had a rough going as of late and is 18-18 on the year.  This is his first Wimbledon and has only three matches on Grass to his name (0-3).  Ryan Harrison has been bounced out of his last three first rounds and isn't having the best season either (12-13).  Harrison is 28-35 on Grass lifetime and is just 1-5 in the last two years.  Although I have Harrison winning this match, I don't see a straight set finish and at even money, I'll take my chances with the over. Elias +2.5 (+100) vs. Garcia-Lopez Gustao Elias actually leads this H2H 2-1 and all two of the three meetings ended in three sets. (Elias won 2-0 the other meeting.  These matchups were all

Wimbledon Draw

Top Half Section 1 2 Roger Federer vs. 57 Dusan Lajovic -Federer leads H2H 1-0 winning last year in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon 7-6(0), 6-3, 6-2 94 Lukas Lacko vs. 285 Benjamin Bonzi - First Meeting 100 Mikahil Youzhny vs.  112 Ivo Karlovic -Youzhny leads H2H 4-1, they split on Grass at Halle ('17 Youzhny won, '14 Karlovic won) 36 Leonardo Mayer vs. 65 Jan-Lennard Struff -Mayer leads H2H 2-1, Mayer won only meeting on Grass ('13) 24 Adrian Mannarino vs. 169 Christian Garin -First Meeting 58 Ryan Harrison vs. 74 Roberto Carballes Baena -First Meeting 69 Guillermo Garcia-Lopez vs. 118 Gustao Elias -Elias leads H2H 2-1 all on Clay 21 Bernd Coric vs. 59 Daniil Medvedev -Coric leads H2H 1-0  Section 2 13 Sam Querrey vs. 99 Jordan Thompson -Querrey leads H2H 1-0 47 Joao Sousa vs.  109 Sergiy Stakhovsky -Sousa leads H2H 2-1 all on Hard 86 Paolo Lorenzi vs. 101 Laslo Djere  -Djere leads H2H 4-2 including winning the last two 29 Ri

Wimbledon Stats Spreadsheet

Seed Player Odds Best Wimbledon Rec @ Wim Main Grass % Total Grass % 2018 Rec Best Surface Age Nation 1 Roger Federer 7/4 Winner (8 Times) 91-11 168-24 87.5% 176-27 86.7% 21-2 Fast (Hard/Grass) 36 SUI 2 Rafael Nadal 15/2 Winner (2 Times) 43-10 61-18 77.2% 61-18 77.2% 28-2 Clay 32 ESP 3 Marin Cilic 13/2 Final ('17) 27-10 60-26 69.8% 70-27 72.2% 20-9 Fast (Hard/Grass) 29 CRO 4 Alexander Zverev 16/1 Round of 16 ('17) 6-3 20-10 66.7% 20-10 66.7% 31-8 Soft (Clay/Grass) 21 GER 5 Juan Martin del Potro 18/1 Semifinal ('13) 17-8 35-16 68.6% 35-16 68.6% 28-7 All-Rounder 29 ARG 6 Grigor Dimitrov 33/1 Semifinal ('14) 15-8 34-22 60.7% 39-26 60.0% 18-11 All-Rounder 27 BUL 7 Dominic Thiem 40/1 Round of 16 ('17) 5-4 13-11 54.2% 14-12 53.8% 33-9 Clay 24 AUT 8 Kevin Anderson 50/1 Round of 16 (3 Times) 12-9 30-23 56.6% 40-28 58.8% 23-9 Hard 32 RSA 9 John Isner 80/1 Round of 32 (3 Times) 10-9 39-22 63.9% 39-22 63.9% 14-11 Fast (Hard/Grass) 33 USA 10 David Goffin 80/1 Round o